Thursday, February 17, 2005

Syria next?

Belmont Club has a must-read on what may turn out to be the next front in the war on terror.
Whether consciously or not, the choice of Iraq as a beachead into the mainland of Middle Eastern terror was a blow directed at a faultline in the Islamic world, just as generals of the previous century directed attacks at the command boundaries of enemy armies. If that strategy proved profitable, so would its sequel: Lebanon lies along another such faultline. If this speculation is true, the evidence will not be long in coming. The indicators will be a gradual quieting of Iraq as a military theater and a corresponding shift of emphasis onto Iran and perhaps, Lebanon.

I noted here that it looks as if there may have been a quieting of the Iraq theatre already.